Avalara, Inc. (AVLR): Huge Runway For Growth

Avalara, Inc. (NYSE:AVLR) closing share price quoted for February 13, 2019 was $51.01. The 16.51% rally might have been tempting for an investor to buy at this point and in fact that would prove a good idea, as sell-side analysts think there is almost -1.98% more gain yet to come for shareholders. The stock enjoyed an overall uptrend of 63.76% from the beginning of 2019. Analysts seemed to set $50 as highest price target on its way to greater gains. The average 12-month price target they expect from the stock is $43. This mean price target represents -15.7% downside over its previous closing price. The median price target they presented was $41 for the next 12-months, which suggests a -19.62% upside from current levels. Some analysts have a lowest price target on the stock of $38, which would mean a -25.5% gain in value.

Moving on, Avalara, Inc. (AVLR) last reported its December 2018 earnings. For brief highlights, it performed weak in that quarter, with earnings down -100% year-over-year at $-0.19. The company surprised analysts by -17 who were expecting $-0.23 per share. Overall, its quarterly revenues dropped by -40584% to reach $76.92 million, while it had reported $-190000 in the same period a year ago. To see what investors should really expect from its March 2019 financial results consensus analyst estimates are calling for current quarter earnings per share of $-0.19, down from $73.86 in the same quarter a year ago. However, earnings-per-share are expected to see growth of 37.1% in next year. From there, the company believes it can achieve a long-term annual earnings growth rate of 0 %. At the other end of the income statement, we have seen revenue of $252.6 million over the trailing 12 months.

To help you decide whether it’s worth the wait (and the money), Avalara, Inc. (NYSE:AVLR) is currently trading at 0X the company’s trailing-12-month earnings per share, which represents a discount compared to the sector’s 1194.32X and comes in below its industry’s 34.43X. The most popular method for valuing a stock is to study the historic Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio using reported earnings for the past 12 months. The EPS number for this stock in the most recent four quarters of earnings stood at $-1.2. P/E ratio is so popular because it’s simple, it’s effective, and, tautologically, because everyone uses it.

The 14-day Absolute ATR (Average True Range) on Wednesday, February 13 of 2019 shows that the price on average moves $2.31. The average daily volatility is 6.36% over the past week. Low volatility is good for the stock and it means we have calm and confident investors. If you check recent Avalara, Inc. (AVLR) volume, you will see that it has changed to 3.73 million shares versus the average daily volume of 372.84 thousand shares.

When you look at the daily chart for AVLR, you will observe the stock held 32.46% gains in the 6-month period and maintains 81.59% distance from its most recent low. The past 5-day performance for the share stays positive at 20.91% but up 24.83% from its three-week moving average. Comparing to 50-day SMA, Avalara, Inc. shares price is now up 43.28%. It also closed 34.39% higher from its 200-day SMA. This is often seen as the last line of defense for long term trends to find support at, else be considered broken and/or in a bear market. The daily chart of the stock more clearly reveals the slide in prices as it closed Wednesday with a 1-month performance at 34.1%.